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Tesla: Fundamental And Technical Downside

Writer: undefined

Updated: Apr 1, 2024


We called out publicly risk in Tesla early this year and we've been calling out risk consistently to subscribers each day in our service.


Troy Teslike keeps bringing down estimates and is well below the Street. I've been pointing this out for a few weeks now to subscribers that there's a risk to deliveries.


Adjusting my deliveries to be more inline with Troy's deliveries makes my numbers much lower and way below the Street. Along the way I have to lower my auto margins too. My EPS are well below the Street for the next two quarters.


I see technical downside to 135, next stop versus the current $181.


PS remember that until TSLA nails FSD, they are (just) an auto company. And all CEO, Elon Musk's new (high margin) stuff, he's now potentially doing a lot of it outside the company now. And car companies fetch PE-s below 10. I'm using 40x for TSLA. If it was 10x my EPS then uh....


And, oh by the way, my annual EPS estimate is closer to a third of the Street as of now! Please let me know what you think risk/reward is based on that. And I think I've had better estimates than the Street for a few years now. [Here's me downgrading TSLA about exactly at its all time high a few years ago]


Unless you have insight that FSD is near term, be very careful.


PLEASE SHARE :-)


Wishing you all continued success.



All investments have many risks and can lose principal in the short and long term. The information provided is for information purposes only and can be wrong. By reading this you agree, understand and accept that you take upon yourself all responsibility for all of your investment decisions and to do your own work and hold Elazar Advisors, LLC, and their related parties harmless. Opinions given are at this moment and can change rapidly after this is published. If our calls are made public (outside the service) we may or may not update our opinions publicly. 




 
 
 

6件のコメント

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ゲスト
1月10日

Diamondhack

いいね!
ゲスト
1月10日
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Diamondhack

いいね!

ゲスト
2024年3月08日
5つ星のうち4と評価されています。

Pori sawta

Pori sawtal


いいね!

ゲスト
2024年3月08日
5つ星のうち4と評価されています。

Pori sawatl

いいね!

ゲスト
2024年3月05日

Thanks for your information

いいね!
ゲスト
2024年3月06日
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happy to share. wishing you success. Chaim

いいね!
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